A Recession Does Not Equal a Housing Crisis

Lately there is a lot of talk from the ankle biting, “Chicken Little” lemming like crowds about how a recession is coming and how bad that would be. Well to quote that old, old radio comedy show, “Tain’t so McGee”. As shown below we had 5 recessions since 1980; housing prices increased during three of them and were down by only 1.9% in one. The big kahuna in 2008 was a whopper that hurt like hell, ruined lives and careers and still hangs over the thinking of some people. We are not about to repeat those mistakes, which (in my opinion) were 100% brought on by our well intentioned but unintended consequences producing federal government. If you would like more on this, please read “Hidden in Plain Sight” by Peter Wallison which lays out the whole shameful story.

Some Highlights:

There is plenty of talk in the media about a pending economic slowdown.
The good news is, home values actually increased in 3 of the last 5 U.S. recessions, and decreased by less than 2% in the 4^th.
Many experts predict a potential recession is on the horizon. However, housing will not be the trigger, and home values will still continue to appreciate. It will not be a repeat of the crash in the 2008 housing market.